South African Premiership · Friday, 30 October, MSK
Marumo Gallants — Siwelele
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 30 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Marumo Gallants 36%, Siwelele 31%, draw 33%.
2.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 33%, both teams to score — 42%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Marumo Gallants — Siwelele What is xG? | 1.0–1.0 | |
| Marumo Gallants not to lose | 69% | |
| Siwelele not to lose | 64% | |
| No draw | 67% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 42% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 58% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 33% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 67% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Marumo Gallants
- Marumo Gallants goals
- Siwelele goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 20.09Orlando Pirates0:2
- 12.09away · AmaZulu FC0:1
- 04.09Polokwane City2:2
- 25.08TS Galaxy2:3
- 19.08away · Mamelodi Sundowns FC0:2
- 13.09Lamontville Golden Arrows1:1
- 09.09away · Mamelodi Sundowns FC0:3
- 06.09away · Kaizer Chiefs2:3
- 25.08Chippa United1:1
- 15.08away · AmaZulu FC0:2
Head to head
- 18.04.2026Marumo Gallants — Siwelele0:0
- 28.09.2025Siwelele — Marumo Gallants1:0
- 05.04.2025Marumo Gallants — Siwelele1:1
- 29.11.2024Siwelele — Marumo Gallants0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Kruger United | 7 | 1 | -9 | 4 |
| 14 | Siwelele | 7 | 0 | -7 | 3 |
| 15, Relegation play-off | Richards Bay | 8 | 0 | -10 | 3 |
| 16, Relegation | Marumo Gallants | 7 | 0 | -8 | 2 |
SA Premiership on the same day
- Stellenbosch FCChippa Unitedpreliminary5728151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →