Swiss Super League: matchday 11 predictions

24–25 October · 6 matches · season 2026/27

Swiss Super League matchday 11: 6 matches, 24–25 October. The model expects 3.4 goals per match on average. Its most likely outcome is a home win in 4 matches, an away win in 2. In matchday 10 the most likely outcome came true in 4 of 6 matches. The round is more than a week away: the estimates are preliminary and will be refined closer to the matches.

The round at a glance

  • Biggest favouriteBasel — GrasshopperBasel 61% to win; most likely score 2:1
  • Closest match · Most goals expected · Top-of-the-table clashYoung Boys — St. Gallen45% v 29%, draw 26%; 3.9 goals on average; over 2.5: 75%; 2nd v 4th in the table
  • Possible upsetSion — LausanneLausanne 18% to win: the best underdog chance of the round

What is at stake

Lugano lead with 28 points from 10 matches; Young Boys are second, 6 points behind. The leader’s game this round: Thun — Lugano, 46% to win. Title chances by the season forecast: Lugano 79%, Young Boys 15%.

The matches

Saturday, 24 Octoberpreliminary estimates

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.5
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.6
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.9

Sunday, 25 Octoberpreliminary estimates

  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.3
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.4
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8

Probabilities: home win, draw, away win in 90 minutes; under the most likely outcome, its most likely score. The estimates are updated until kick-off.

Swiss Super League: this page always shows the current round; after its last match the next one takes its place.