VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Monday, 12 October, MSK
AKM — Magnitka Magnitogorsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
2:3Came true
In short
Final score 2:3: the model's most likely outcome, Magnitka Magnitogorsk to win (56% incl. overtime), came true.
Magnitka Magnitogorsk are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 34%.
Why
- Magnitka Magnitogorsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.4 expected goals against 2.1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: AKM — Magnitka Magnitogorsk | 2.1–2.4 | |
| AKM to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 44% | |
| Magnitka Magnitogorsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 56% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 34% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 66% |
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- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap AKM
- AKM goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 10.10Orsk3:0
- 05.10away · Perm0:3
- 03.10away · Toros Neftekamsk3:0
- 01.10away · Izhevsk3:4 OT
- 29.09away · Olympia3:4 OT
- 10.10away · Ryazan3:4 SO
- 02.10Bars4:2
- 30.09Almetyevsk1:2 OT
- 28.09CSK VVS3:0
- 22.09away · Khimik1:0
Head to head
- 28.02.2026Magnitka Magnitogorsk — AKM4:3 OT
- 14.09.2025AKM — Magnitka Magnitogorsk2:6
- 17.01.2025AKM — Magnitka Magnitogorsk0:3
- 12.11.2024Magnitka Magnitogorsk — AKM2:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs | Orsk | 12 | 8 | +13 | 19 |
| 6, Playoffs | AKM | 14 | 8 | +11 | 19 |
| 7, Playoffs | Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 14 | 8 | +11 | 19 |
| 15, Playoffs | Kristall Saratov | 12 | 7 | -10 | 15 |
| 16, Playoffs | Magnitka Magnitogorsk | 11 | 5 | +4 | 14 |
| 17 | Toros Neftekamsk | 13 | 6 | -1 | 14 |
Next matches
- AKMChelmet Chelyabinsk14 October · VHL55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
- KalugaMagnitka Magnitogorsk14 October · VHL53471The model's most likely outcome: 126%Model's score: 2:13.4
VHL on the same day
- 45552The most likely outcome did not happen: 223%3:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 1:2.4.5
- 49512The most likely outcome came true: 223%0:5Final score 0:5. Model's score: 1:2.4.5
- 66341The most likely outcome came true: 120%3:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 4:2.5.6
- 51491The most likely outcome came true: 123%5:2Final score 5:2. Model's score: 2:1.4.4
- 68321The most likely outcome did not happen: 125%1:2SOFinal score 1:2 in a shootout. Model's score: 2:1.3.3
- 52481The most likely outcome came true: 123%8:0Final score 8:0. Model's score: 3:1.4.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →