VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Monday, 12 October, MSK
Kaluga — Orsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
In short
Final score 1:2 SO: the model's most likely outcome, Kaluga to win (68% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 68% fails in about 32 matches out of 100 on average.
Kaluga are clear favourites: 68% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 3.3 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 14%.
Why
- Kaluga are more dangerous in attack: 2.0 expected goals against 1.3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kaluga — Orsk | 2.0–1.3 | |
| Kaluga to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 68% | |
| Orsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 32% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 14% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 86% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Kaluga
- Kaluga goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 07.10away · Perm3:1
- 05.10away · Toros Neftekamsk1:0
- 03.10away · Izhevsk3:1
- 01.10away · Olympia3:2 OT
- 27.09Kristall Saratov2:3
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs | HC Norilsk | 15 | 9 | +2 | 20 |
| 5, Playoffs | Orsk | 12 | 8 | +13 | 19 |
| 6, Playoffs | AKM | 14 | 8 | +11 | 19 |
| 7, Playoffs | Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 14 | 8 | +11 | 19 |
| 8, Playoffs | Kaluga | 13 | 8 | +10 | 19 |
| 9, Playoffs | Khimik | 14 | 8 | +18 | 18 |
Next matches
- KalugaMagnitka Magnitogorsk14 October · VHL53471The model's most likely outcome: 126%Model's score: 2:13.4
- OrskHC Norilsk19 October · VHL55451The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.2
VHL on the same day
- 45552The most likely outcome did not happen: 223%3:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 1:2.4.5
- 49512The most likely outcome came true: 223%0:5Final score 0:5. Model's score: 1:2.4.5
- 66341The most likely outcome came true: 120%3:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 4:2.5.6
- 51491The most likely outcome came true: 123%5:2Final score 5:2. Model's score: 2:1.4.4
- 44562The most likely outcome came true: 223%2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 1:2.4.5
- 52481The most likely outcome came true: 123%8:0Final score 8:0. Model's score: 3:1.4.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →