PremiumTelegram
EN
Sections

VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Monday, 12 October, MSK

CSK VVS — SKA-VMF St. Petersburg

☆ Save match

Model prediction and result

0:5Came true
CSK VVS37%
Draw in regulation23%
SKA-VMF St. Petersburg39%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:5: the model's most likely outcome, SKA-VMF St. Petersburg to win (51% incl. overtime), came true.

Close to a coin flip: CSK VVS 49%, SKA-VMF St. Petersburg 51% including overtime.

4.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 35%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.2 and 2.3.

Facts

  • CSK VVS: 4 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: CSK VVS 5 wins, SKA-VMF St. Petersburg 0.

Probabilities

Expected goals: CSK VVS — SKA-VMF St. Petersburg2.2–2.3
CSK VVS to win (incl. OT and shootout)49%
SKA-VMF St. Petersburg to win (incl. OT and shootout)51%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)35%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)65%

111 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap CSK VVS
  • CSK VVS goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

CSK VVS

  • 10.10Dinamo St. Petersburg3:5
  • 08.10Zvezda Moscow2:3
  • 06.10Khimik2:8
  • 02.10away · Gornyak2:5
  • 30.09away · Chelmet Chelyabinsk5:4 OT

SKA-VMF St. Petersburg

  • 05.10Dinamo St. Petersburg3:0
  • 02.10away · Khimik0:1
  • 30.09away · Zvezda Moscow3:1
  • 20.09Gornyak3:1
  • 18.09Chelmet Chelyabinsk3:2

Head to head

  • 07.01.2026SKA-VMF St. Petersburg — CSK VVS2:5
  • 15.11.2025CSK VVS — SKA-VMF St. Petersburg6:1
  • 29.01.2025SKA-VMF St. Petersburg — CSK VVS1:2
  • 26.10.2024CSK VVS — SKA-VMF St. Petersburg4:3
  • 07.12.2023SKA-VMF St. Petersburg — CSK VVS0:1

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
10, PlayoffsBars1581639–46-717
11, PlayoffsSKA-VMF St. Petersburg1280432–21+1116
12, PlayoffsPerm1280430–23+716
26Kurgan1234519–33-1410
27CSK VVS16411131–56-259
28Izhevsk1332829–40-118

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Next matches

VHL on the same day

  • HC NorilskPerm
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 223%Final score 3:1. Model's score: 1:2.4.5
  • AlmetyevskDinamo St. Petersburg
    1The most likely outcome came true: 120%Final score 3:2. Model's score: 4:2.5.6
  • BarsZvezda Moscow
    1The most likely outcome came true: 123%Final score 5:2. Model's score: 2:1.4.4
  • AKMMagnitka Magnitogorsk
    2The most likely outcome came true: 223%Final score 2:3. Model's score: 1:2.4.5
  • KalugaOrsk
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 125%Final score 1:2 in a shootout. Model's score: 2:1.3.3
  • RyazanChelmet Chelyabinsk
    1The most likely outcome came true: 123%Final score 8:0. Model's score: 3:1.4.7

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →