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Kazakhstan Hockey Championship · Friday, 13 November, (UTC+3)

Almaty — Kulager

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Model prediction for 13 November

Almaty23%
Draw in regulation20%
Kulager57%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Kulager are clear favourites: 69% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 6.2.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.

Why

  • Kulager are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.1.

Facts

  • League table: Almaty — No. 7, 23 pts; Kulager — No. 5, 31 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Almaty 2 wins, Kulager 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Almaty — Kulager2.1–3.2
Almaty to win (incl. OT and shootout)31%
Kulager to win (incl. OT and shootout)69%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)49%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Almaty
  • Almaty goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Almaty

  • 30.10away · Karaganda1:6
  • 29.10away · Karaganda5:4 SO
  • 26.10away · Kokshetau3:4
  • 25.10away · Kokshetau0:3
  • 20.10Torpedo0:4

Kulager

  • 29.10Beibarys Atyrau3:2
  • 28.10Beibarys Atyrau3:4 SO
  • 21.10away · Aktobe4:1
  • 20.10away · Aktobe7:1
  • 17.10away · Beibarys Atyrau5:0

Head to head

  • 28.09.2026Almaty — Kulager1:2
  • 27.09.2026Almaty — Kulager2:1 OT
  • 15.02.2026Kulager — Almaty7:2
  • 14.02.2026Kulager — Almaty3:4 SO
  • 07.12.2025Almaty — Kulager3:5

Full record: 17 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
4, PlayoffsKaraganda261745108–60+4838
5, PlayoffsKulager24135687–62+2531
6, PlayoffsGornyak Rudny261411190–68+2229
7, PlayoffsAlmaty261111466–92-2623
8, PlayoffsAktobe26611969–117-4813

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Kazakhstan Championship on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →