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Kazakhstan Hockey Championship · Friday, 13 November, (UTC+3)

Torpedo — Kokshetau

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Model prediction for 13 November

Torpedo69%
Draw in regulation17%
Kokshetau14%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Torpedo are clear favourites: 80% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 6.2.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.

Why

  • Torpedo are more dangerous in attack: 3.5 expected goals against 1.8.

Facts

  • League table: Torpedo — No. 1, 44 pts; Kokshetau — No. 3, 41 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
  • Torpedo: 5 wins in a row; Kokshetau: 5 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Torpedo 3 wins, Kokshetau 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Torpedo — Kokshetau3.5–1.8
Torpedo to win (incl. OT and shootout)80%
Kokshetau to win (incl. OT and shootout)20%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)49%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Torpedo
  • Torpedo goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Torpedo

  • 30.10Nomad Astana3:0
  • 29.10Nomad Astana6:3
  • 26.10Aktobe3:1
  • 25.10Aktobe4:2
  • 20.10away · Almaty4:0

Kokshetau

  • 30.10away · Gornyak Rudny4:0
  • 29.10away · Gornyak Rudny3:2
  • 26.10Almaty4:3
  • 25.10Almaty3:0
  • 21.10Pavlodar9:2

Head to head

  • 07.09.2026Kokshetau — Torpedo3:4 OT
  • 06.09.2026Kokshetau — Torpedo3:2
  • 15.02.2026Kokshetau — Torpedo2:5
  • 14.02.2026Kokshetau — Torpedo1:3
  • 06.12.2025Torpedo — Kokshetau1:2

Full record: 21 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, PlayoffsTorpedo262123138–46+9244
2, PlayoffsNomad Astana252023102–61+4142
3, PlayoffsKokshetau26201597–58+3941
4, PlayoffsKaraganda261745108–60+4838

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Kazakhstan Championship on the same day

  • Beibarys AtyrauGornyak Rudnypreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 219%Model's score: 1:45.2
  • AlmatyKulagerpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:45.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 69% will not happen in roughly 31 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →