Almaty — Kulager
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Kulager are clear favourites: 69% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 6.2.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.
Why
- Kulager are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.1.
Facts
- League table: Almaty — No. 7, 23 pts; Kulager — No. 5, 31 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Almaty 2 wins, Kulager 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Almaty — Kulager | 2.1–3.2 | |
| Almaty to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 31% | |
| Kulager to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 69% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 49% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 51% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Almaty
- Almaty goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 30.10away · Karaganda1:6
- 29.10away · Karaganda5:4 SO
- 26.10away · Kokshetau3:4
- 25.10away · Kokshetau0:3
- 20.10Torpedo0:4
- 29.10Beibarys Atyrau3:2
- 28.10Beibarys Atyrau3:4 SO
- 21.10away · Aktobe4:1
- 20.10away · Aktobe7:1
- 17.10away · Beibarys Atyrau5:0
Head to head
- 28.09.2026Almaty — Kulager1:2
- 27.09.2026Almaty — Kulager2:1 OT
- 15.02.2026Kulager — Almaty7:2
- 14.02.2026Kulager — Almaty3:4 SO
- 07.12.2025Almaty — Kulager3:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs | Karaganda | 26 | 17 | +48 | 38 |
| 5, Playoffs | Kulager | 24 | 13 | +25 | 31 |
| 6, Playoffs | Gornyak Rudny | 26 | 14 | +22 | 29 |
| 7, Playoffs | Almaty | 26 | 11 | -26 | 23 |
| 8, Playoffs | Aktobe | 26 | 6 | -48 | 13 |
Kazakhstan Championship on the same day
- Beibarys AtyrauGornyak Rudnypreliminary26742The model's most likely outcome: 219%Model's score: 1:45.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →