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Kazakhstan Hockey Championship · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

Beibarys Atyrau — Gornyak Rudny

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Model prediction for 14 November

Beibarys Atyrau19%
Draw in regulation19%
Gornyak Rudny62%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Gornyak Rudny are clear favourites: 74% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 6.2.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 47%.

Why

  • Gornyak Rudny are more dangerous in attack: 3.3 expected goals against 2.0.

Facts

  • League table: Beibarys Atyrau — No. 9, 12 pts; Gornyak Rudny — No. 6, 29 pts. A gap of 17 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Beibarys Atyrau 1 win, Gornyak Rudny 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Beibarys Atyrau — Gornyak Rudny1.9–3.3
Beibarys Atyrau to win (incl. OT and shootout)26%
Gornyak Rudny to win (incl. OT and shootout)74%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)47%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)53%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Beibarys Atyrau
  • Beibarys Atyrau goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Beibarys Atyrau

  • 29.10away · Kulager2:3
  • 28.10away · Kulager4:3 SO
  • 25.10away · Karaganda0:6
  • 24.10away · Karaganda0:5
  • 20.10Nomad Astana2:3

Gornyak Rudny

  • 30.10Kokshetau0:4
  • 29.10Kokshetau2:3
  • 25.10Nomad Astana6:0
  • 24.10Nomad Astana1:3
  • 20.10away · Karaganda2:3

Head to head

  • 28.09.2026Gornyak Rudny — Beibarys Atyrau5:1
  • 27.09.2026Gornyak Rudny — Beibarys Atyrau5:1
  • 07.02.2026Beibarys Atyrau — Gornyak Rudny2:5
  • 06.02.2026Beibarys Atyrau — Gornyak Rudny1:4
  • 06.12.2025Beibarys Atyrau — Gornyak Rudny6:1

Full record: 17 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
5, PlayoffsKulager24135687–62+2531
6, PlayoffsGornyak Rudny261411190–68+2229
7, PlayoffsAlmaty261111466–92-2623
8, PlayoffsAktobe26611969–117-4813
9Beibarys Atyrau25521848–85-3712
10Pavlodar24012331–187-1561

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Kazakhstan Championship on the same day

  • AlmatyKulagerpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:45.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →