KHL · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Avangard Omsk — Novosibirsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Avangard Omsk are clear favourites: 65% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.6 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 36%.
Why
- Avangard Omsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 1.9.
Facts
- League table: Avangard Omsk — No. 15, 22 pts; Novosibirsk — No. 20, 19 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Avangard Omsk 3 wins, Novosibirsk 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Avangard Omsk — Novosibirsk | 2.7–1.9 | |
| Avangard Omsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 65% | |
| Novosibirsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 35% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 36% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 64% |
Model vs market
The model and the market disagree: the model rates “Avangard Omsk to win (regulation)” at 53%, the market at 58%.
- Avangard Omsk to win (regulation)Model53%odds 1.89Market58%odds 1.72
- Draw in regulationModel22%odds 4.55Market20%odds 4.92
- Novosibirsk to win (regulation)Model26%odds 3.85Market21%odds 4.68
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Avangard Omsk
- Avangard Omsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 01.11away · Sochi1:2 OT
- 30.10away · Lada2:3 OT
- 28.10away · Bars Kazan4:0
- 26.10away · Dynamo Moscow3:2 OT
- 22.10Niznekamsk2:3
- 01.11Niznekamsk1:3
- 29.10Magnitogorsk5:2
- 26.10away · Tractor Chelyabinsk1:2
- 24.10away · Magnitogorsk1:5
- 22.10away · SKA St. Petersburg3:6
Head to head
- 09.03.2026Avangard Omsk — Novosibirsk1:2 SO
- 20.02.2026Avangard Omsk — Novosibirsk2:1 SO
- 04.01.2026Novosibirsk — Avangard Omsk2:5
- 16.12.2025Novosibirsk — Avangard Omsk4:2
- 17.12.2024Novosibirsk — Avangard Omsk3:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Yekaterinburg | 21 | 10 | +4 | 22 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Avangard Omsk | 20 | 10 | -7 | 22 |
| 16, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Dinamo Minsk | 22 | 8 | -15 | 22 |
| 19 | Tractor Chelyabinsk | 21 | 8 | -10 | 19 |
| 20 | Novosibirsk | 23 | 8 | -17 | 19 |
| 21 | Sochi | 22 | 7 | -37 | 14 |
KHL on the same day
- 55451The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →