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KHL · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)

Nizhny Novgorod — Dynamo Moscow

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Model prediction for 7 November

Nizhny Novgorod43%
Draw in regulation23%
Dynamo Moscow33%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Nizhny Novgorod are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 33%.

Why

  • Nizhny Novgorod are more dangerous in attack: 2.4 expected goals against 2.1.

Facts

  • League table: Nizhny Novgorod — No. 5, 29 pts; Dynamo Moscow — No. 13, 23 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Nizhny Novgorod 3 wins, Dynamo Moscow 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Nizhny Novgorod — Dynamo Moscow2.4–2.1
Nizhny Novgorod to win (incl. OT and shootout)55%
Dynamo Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout)45%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)33%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)67%

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Nizhny Novgorod
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Form

Nizhny Novgorod

  • 01.11Spartak Moscow3:1
  • 29.10away · Yekaterinburg2:3 SO
  • 27.10away · SKA St. Petersburg4:3
  • 24.10Dinamo Minsk1:2 OT
  • 21.10away · Bars Kazan2:1 SO

Dynamo Moscow

  • 01.11away · Dinamo Minsk4:0
  • 28.10Khabarovsk2:1
  • 26.10Avangard Omsk2:3 OT
  • 23.10away · Lokomotiv Yaroslavl1:2 OT
  • 20.10Novosibirsk2:3 SO

Head to head

  • 16.10.2026Nizhny Novgorod — Dynamo Moscow5:4
  • 01.10.2026Dynamo Moscow — Nizhny Novgorod1:3
  • 15.02.2026Nizhny Novgorod — Dynamo Moscow2:4
  • 12.01.2026Dynamo Moscow — Nizhny Novgorod3:4 OT
  • 01.12.2025Dynamo Moscow — Nizhny Novgorod4:0

Full record: 57 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
4, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceShanghai21142564–51+1330
5, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceNizhny Novgorod21133558–43+1529
6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceNiznekamsk23133765–55+1029
12, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceVladivostok22103956–60-423
13, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceDynamo Moscow24951050–62-1223
14, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceYekaterinburg21102957–53+422

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

KHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →