AHL (American Hockey League) · Monday, 23 November, (UTC+3)
Bakersfield Condors — Coachella Valley Firebirds
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Bakersfield Condors 49%, Coachella Valley Firebirds 51% including overtime.
5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 57%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.9 and 2.9.
Facts
- League table: Bakersfield Condors — No. 29, 7 pts; Coachella Valley Firebirds — No. 22, 11 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Bakersfield Condors 2 wins, Coachella Valley Firebirds 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bakersfield Condors — Coachella Valley Firebirds | 2.9–2.9 | |
| Bakersfield Condors to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| Coachella Valley Firebirds to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 57% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 43% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Bakersfield Condors
- Bakersfield Condors goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 02.11away · San Jose Barracuda2:3 OT
- 31.10Abbotsford Canucks1:5
- 25.10away · Colorado Eagles4:1
- 24.10away · Colorado Eagles1:4
- 18.10Calgary Wranglers3:4
- 31.10Henderson Silver Knights5:1
- 29.10Tucson Roadrunners1:5
- 24.10San Jose Barracuda2:5
- 22.10away · San Diego Gulls3:2
- 19.10away · Abbotsford Canucks4:5 SO
Head to head
- 27.04.2026Coachella Valley Firebirds — Bakersfield Condors6:2
- 26.04.2026Coachella Valley Firebirds — Bakersfield Condors5:4
- 24.04.2026Bakersfield Condors — Coachella Valley Firebirds6:1
- 01.03.2026Coachella Valley Firebirds — Bakersfield Condors3:2 SO
- 19.02.2026Bakersfield Condors — Coachella Valley Firebirds4:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Chicago Wolves | 11 | 5 | -12 | 11 | .500 |
| 22 | Coachella Valley Firebirds | 11 | 4 | -6 | 11 | .500 |
| 23 | Providence Bruins | 11 | 5 | +8 | 10 | .455 |
| 28 | San Jose Barracuda | 10 | 4 | -12 | 8 | .400 |
| 29 | Bakersfield Condors | 9 | 3 | -5 | 7 | .389 |
| 30 | Iowa Wild | 12 | 3 | -8 | 9 | .375 |
AHL on the same day
- Toronto MarliesChicago Wolvespreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
- Ontario ReignHenderson Silver Knightspreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →