AHL (American Hockey League) · Monday, 23 November, (UTC+3)
Ontario Reign — Henderson Silver Knights
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Henderson Silver Knights are favourites: 53% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 47%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.5 and 2.7.
Facts
- League table: Ontario Reign — No. 24, 10 pts; Henderson Silver Knights — No. 10, 12 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Ontario Reign: 4 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Ontario Reign 2 wins, Henderson Silver Knights 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Ontario Reign — Henderson Silver Knights | 2.5–2.7 | |
| Ontario Reign to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Henderson Silver Knights to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 47% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 53% |
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- Totals incl. OT
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- Ontario Reign goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 01.11Tucson Roadrunners2:3
- 31.10Tucson Roadrunners4:5
- 29.10away · Henderson Silver Knights1:4
- 25.10away · Texas Stars2:5
- 24.10away · Texas Stars5:3
- 01.11away · San Diego Gulls3:2 OT
- 31.10away · Coachella Valley Firebirds1:5
- 29.10Ontario Reign4:1
- 25.10Tucson Roadrunners1:4
- 24.10Tucson Roadrunners2:1 OT
Head to head
- 29.10.2026Henderson Silver Knights — Ontario Reign4:1
- 18.10.2026Ontario Reign — Henderson Silver Knights2:5
- 26.03.2026Henderson Silver Knights — Ontario Reign3:1
- 09.03.2026Henderson Silver Knights — Ontario Reign1:2
- 07.03.2026Ontario Reign — Henderson Silver Knights4:3 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Colorado Eagles | 11 | 6 | +5 | 14 | .636 |
| 10 | Henderson Silver Knights | 10 | 6 | +2 | 12 | .600 |
| 11 | Cleveland Monsters | 10 | 6 | -1 | 12 | .600 |
| 23 | Providence Bruins | 11 | 5 | +8 | 10 | .455 |
| 24 | Ontario Reign | 11 | 5 | -9 | 10 | .455 |
| 25 | Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 10 | 4 | -14 | 9 | .450 |
AHL on the same day
- Toronto MarliesChicago Wolvespreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
- 49512The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →