Baranavichy — Brest
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 11 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Brest are clear favourites: 73% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects plenty of goals: 5.7 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 55%.
Why
- Brest are more dangerous in attack: 3.5 expected goals against 2.2.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Baranavichy 2 wins, Brest 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Baranavichy — Brest | 2.2–3.5 | |
| Baranavichy to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 27% | |
| Brest to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 73% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 55% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 45% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Baranavichy
- Baranavichy goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 02.11away · Neman Grodno0:8
- 30.10Molodechno3:2 SO
- 28.10Molodechno2:7
- 24.10Gomel1:6
- 22.10Gomel3:2 OT
- 02.11Mogilev3:0
- 29.10away · Slavutych2:3 SO
- 27.10away · Slavutych3:1
- 23.10away · Lokomotiv Orsha6:1
- 21.10away · Lokomotiv Orsha2:3
Head to head
- 18.02.2026Brest — Baranavichy5:0
- 16.02.2026Brest — Baranavichy2:1
- 19.10.2025Baranavichy — Brest3:1
- 17.10.2025Baranavichy — Brest4:2
- 24.02.2025Baranavichy — Brest2:5
Belarus Extraleague on the same day
- NovopolotskSlavutychpreliminary18822The model's most likely outcome: 216%Model's score: 1:45.5
- Lokomotiv OrshaMogilevpreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →