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Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Wednesday, 11 November, (UTC+3)

Lokomotiv Orsha — Mogilev

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Model prediction for 11 November

Lokomotiv Orsha45%
Draw in regulation21%
Mogilev34%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Lokomotiv Orsha are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects plenty of goals: 5.8 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 57%.

Why

  • Lokomotiv Orsha are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.7.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Lokomotiv Orsha 4 wins, Mogilev 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Lokomotiv Orsha — Mogilev3.1–2.7
Lokomotiv Orsha to win (incl. OT and shootout)56%
Mogilev to win (incl. OT and shootout)44%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)57%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)43%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Lokomotiv Orsha
  • Lokomotiv Orsha goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Lokomotiv Orsha

  • 03.11away · Novopolotsk3:2
  • 30.10Zhlobin1:5
  • 28.10Zhlobin2:4
  • 23.10Brest1:6
  • 21.10Brest3:2

Mogilev

  • 02.11away · Brest0:3
  • 29.10Novopolotsk4:3 OT
  • 27.10Novopolotsk1:2
  • 23.10away · Molodechno4:2
  • 21.10away · Molodechno1:4

Head to head

  • 18.12.2025Mogilev — Lokomotiv Orsha2:4
  • 16.12.2025Mogilev — Lokomotiv Orsha2:5
  • 25.09.2025Lokomotiv Orsha — Mogilev3:2
  • 23.09.2025Lokomotiv Orsha — Mogilev2:5
  • 25.12.2024Mogilev — Lokomotiv Orsha2:5

Full record: 46 meetings →

Belarus Extraleague on the same day

  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 216%Model's score: 1:45.5
  • BaranavichyBrestpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 219%Model's score: 2:45.7

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →