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Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Monday, 16 November, (UTC+3)

Baranavichy — Novopolotsk

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Model prediction for 16 November

Baranavichy50%
Draw in regulation21%
Novopolotsk30%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Baranavichy are favourites: 61% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects plenty of goals: 5.5 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.

Why

  • Baranavichy are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.4.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Baranavichy 1 win, Novopolotsk 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Baranavichy — Novopolotsk3.0–2.4
Baranavichy to win (incl. OT and shootout)61%
Novopolotsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)39%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)52%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)48%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Baranavichy
  • Baranavichy goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Baranavichy

  • 02.11away · Neman Grodno0:8
  • 30.10Molodechno3:2 SO
  • 28.10Molodechno2:7
  • 24.10Gomel1:6
  • 22.10Gomel3:2 OT

Novopolotsk

  • 03.11Lokomotiv Orsha2:3
  • 29.10away · Mogilev3:4 OT
  • 27.10away · Mogilev2:1
  • 24.10Zhlobin0:3
  • 22.10Zhlobin3:4 SO

Head to head

  • 24.02.2026Baranavichy — Novopolotsk3:1
  • 22.02.2026Baranavichy — Novopolotsk0:2
  • 12.11.2025Novopolotsk — Baranavichy2:1
  • 10.11.2025Novopolotsk — Baranavichy7:1
  • 18.02.2025Novopolotsk — Baranavichy4:1

Full record: 27 meetings →

Belarus Extraleague on the same day

  • MogilevZhlobinpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 215%Model's score: 1:45.7
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 112%Model's score: 5:26.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →