Baranavichy — Novopolotsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Baranavichy are favourites: 61% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects plenty of goals: 5.5 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.
Why
- Baranavichy are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.4.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Baranavichy 1 win, Novopolotsk 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Baranavichy — Novopolotsk | 3.0–2.4 | |
| Baranavichy to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 61% | |
| Novopolotsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 39% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 52% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Baranavichy
- Baranavichy goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 02.11away · Neman Grodno0:8
- 30.10Molodechno3:2 SO
- 28.10Molodechno2:7
- 24.10Gomel1:6
- 22.10Gomel3:2 OT
- 03.11Lokomotiv Orsha2:3
- 29.10away · Mogilev3:4 OT
- 27.10away · Mogilev2:1
- 24.10Zhlobin0:3
- 22.10Zhlobin3:4 SO
Head to head
- 24.02.2026Baranavichy — Novopolotsk3:1
- 22.02.2026Baranavichy — Novopolotsk0:2
- 12.11.2025Novopolotsk — Baranavichy2:1
- 10.11.2025Novopolotsk — Baranavichy7:1
- 18.02.2025Novopolotsk — Baranavichy4:1
Belarus Extraleague on the same day
- MogilevZhlobinpreliminary18822The model's most likely outcome: 215%Model's score: 1:45.7
- SlavutychLokomotiv Orshapreliminary87131The model's most likely outcome: 112%Model's score: 5:26.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →