Mogilev — Zhlobin
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Zhlobin are clear favourites: 82% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects plenty of goals: 5.7 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 56%.
Why
- Zhlobin are more dangerous in attack: 3.9 expected goals against 1.9.
Facts
- Zhlobin: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Mogilev 0 wins, Zhlobin 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Mogilev — Zhlobin | 1.9–3.9 | |
| Mogilev to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 18% | |
| Zhlobin to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 82% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 56% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 44% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Mogilev
- Mogilev goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 02.11away · Brest0:3
- 29.10Novopolotsk4:3 OT
- 27.10Novopolotsk1:2
- 23.10away · Molodechno4:2
- 21.10away · Molodechno1:4
- 03.11Vitebsk3:2
- 30.10away · Lokomotiv Orsha5:1
- 28.10away · Lokomotiv Orsha4:2
- 24.10away · Novopolotsk3:0
- 22.10away · Novopolotsk4:3 SO
Head to head
- 06.12.2025Zhlobin — Mogilev6:2
- 04.12.2025Zhlobin — Mogilev5:4
- 01.10.2025Mogilev — Zhlobin1:5
- 29.09.2025Mogilev — Zhlobin3:4
- 12.02.2025Mogilev — Zhlobin3:4 OT
Belarus Extraleague on the same day
- BaranavichyNovopolotskpreliminary61391The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.5
- SlavutychLokomotiv Orshapreliminary87131The model's most likely outcome: 112%Model's score: 5:26.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 71% will not happen in roughly 29 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →