NHL · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)
Calgary Flames — Chicago Blackhawks
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Calgary Flames are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.
Why
- Calgary Flames are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.4.
Facts
- League table: Calgary Flames — No. 25, 14 pts; Chicago Blackhawks — No. 31, 9 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Chicago Blackhawks: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Calgary Flames 3 wins, Chicago Blackhawks 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Calgary Flames — Chicago Blackhawks | 2.9–2.4 | |
| Calgary Flames to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 60% | |
| Chicago Blackhawks to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 40% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 50% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 50% |
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Form
- 03.11away · San Jose Sharks2:1
- 01.11away · Colorado Avalanche2:5
- 31.10Seattle Kraken6:2
- 29.10away · Edmonton Oilers0:4
- 27.10Toronto Maple Leafs5:2
- 03.11Colorado Avalanche2:5
- 31.10away · Boston Bruins4:5 OT
- 30.10away · Detroit Red Wings1:4
- 28.10Los Angeles Kings2:1
- 25.10Florida Panthers2:3
Head to head
- 16.01.2026Chicago Blackhawks — Calgary Flames1:3
- 19.11.2025Chicago Blackhawks — Calgary Flames5:2
- 08.11.2025Calgary Flames — Chicago Blackhawks0:4
- 14.01.2025Chicago Blackhawks — Calgary Flames2:5
- 22.12.2024Calgary Flames — Chicago Blackhawks6:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | San Jose Sharks | 16 | 7 | -12 | 15 |
| 25 | Calgary Flames | 15 | 7 | -15 | 14 |
| 26 | Winnipeg Jets | 16 | 5 | -19 | 13 |
| 30 | Los Angeles Kings | 13 | 4 | -9 | 10 |
| 31 | Chicago Blackhawks | 15 | 4 | -25 | 9 |
| 32 | Vancouver Canucks | 17 | 3 | -26 | 7 |
NHL on the same day
- Carolina HurricanesEdmonton Oilerspreliminary65351The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:25.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →