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NHL · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)

Carolina Hurricanes — Edmonton Oilers

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Model prediction for 21 November

Carolina Hurricanes52%
Draw in regulation22%
Edmonton Oilers26%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Carolina Hurricanes are clear favourites: 65% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.7 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 56%.

Why

  • Carolina Hurricanes are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.4.

Facts

  • League table: Carolina Hurricanes — No. 1, 26 pts; Edmonton Oilers — No. 2, 25 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Last 5 meetings: Carolina Hurricanes 2 wins, Edmonton Oilers 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Carolina Hurricanes — Edmonton Oilers3.2–2.4
Carolina Hurricanes to win (incl. OT and shootout)65%
Edmonton Oilers to win (incl. OT and shootout)35%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)56%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)44%

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Form

Carolina Hurricanes

  • 04.11away · Nashville Predators1:4
  • 01.11Winnipeg Jets7:0
  • 30.10Columbus Blue Jackets3:2
  • 28.10Boston Bruins2:1
  • 25.10away · St. Louis Blues4:0

Edmonton Oilers

  • 04.11away · New Jersey Devils3:4 SO
  • 02.11away · New York Rangers4:1
  • 31.10away · New York Islanders4:0
  • 29.10Calgary Flames4:0
  • 27.10Detroit Red Wings3:4 SO

Head to head

  • 23.10.2026Edmonton Oilers — Carolina Hurricanes6:5 SO
  • 07.03.2026Edmonton Oilers — Carolina Hurricanes3:6
  • 16.11.2025Carolina Hurricanes — Edmonton Oilers3:4 OT
  • 02.03.2025Carolina Hurricanes — Edmonton Oilers1:3
  • 23.10.2024Edmonton Oilers — Carolina Hurricanes2:3 OT

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionCarolina Hurricanes17122364–40+2426
2, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionEdmonton Oilers16113267–48+1925
3, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionMinnesota Wild17113356–38+1825

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →