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AHL (American Hockey League) · Wednesday, 18 November, (UTC+3)

Cleveland Monsters — Hamilton Hammers

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Model prediction for 18 November

Cleveland Monsters53%
Draw in regulation20%
Hamilton Hammers27%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Cleveland Monsters are clear favourites: 65% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 53%.

Why

  • Cleveland Monsters are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.4.

Facts

  • League table: Cleveland Monsters — No. 11, 12 pts; Hamilton Hammers — No. 31, 8 pts. A gap of 4 pts.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Cleveland Monsters — Hamilton Hammers3.2–2.4
Cleveland Monsters to win (incl. OT and shootout)65%
Hamilton Hammers to win (incl. OT and shootout)35%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)53%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)47%

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  • Totals incl. OT
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  • Cleveland Monsters goals
  • Overtime chance
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Form

Cleveland Monsters

  • 31.10Milwaukee Admirals1:4
  • 31.10Milwaukee Admirals5:2
  • 25.10away · Grand Rapids Griffins2:5
  • 24.10away · Grand Rapids Griffins3:2 SO
  • 17.10Wilkes-Barre/Scranton3:6

Hamilton Hammers

  • 01.11away · Utica Comets2:3 SO
  • 31.10away · Syracuse Crunch0:7
  • 30.10Hartford Wolf Pack5:4 OT
  • 24.10away · Laval Rocket2:1
  • 24.10away · Laval Rocket2:4

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
10Henderson Silver Knights1060425–23+212.600
11Cleveland Monsters1060435–36-112.600
12Hershey Bears1060430–32-212.600
30Iowa Wild1233629–37-89.375
31Hamilton Hammers1232730–48-188.333
32Texas Stars1022630–43-136.300

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →