AHL (American Hockey League) · Wednesday, 18 November, (UTC+3)
Rockford IceHogs — Chicago Wolves
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Chicago Wolves are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.5 and 2.8.
Facts
- League table: Rockford IceHogs — No. 27, 8 pts; Chicago Wolves — No. 21, 11 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Rockford IceHogs 3 wins, Chicago Wolves 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Rockford IceHogs — Chicago Wolves | 2.5–2.8 | |
| Rockford IceHogs to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 46% | |
| Chicago Wolves to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 54% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 49% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 51% |
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- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Rockford IceHogs
- Rockford IceHogs goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 02.11Texas Stars4:3
- 31.10Manitoba Moose3:6
- 25.10away · Toronto Marlies3:0
- 24.10away · Toronto Marlies3:2 OT
- 18.10away · Grand Rapids Griffins1:5
- 02.11Grand Rapids Griffins1:5
- 01.11Texas Stars6:3
- 27.10Manitoba Moose6:3
- 25.10away · Milwaukee Admirals1:2 SO
- 25.10Milwaukee Admirals4:2
Head to head
- 12.04.2026Chicago Wolves — Rockford IceHogs4:2
- 22.03.2026Chicago Wolves — Rockford IceHogs2:4
- 14.03.2026Rockford IceHogs — Chicago Wolves4:1
- 25.01.2026Rockford IceHogs — Chicago Wolves1:4
- 19.01.2026Rockford IceHogs — Chicago Wolves6:5 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Belleville Senators | 12 | 5 | -4 | 12 | .500 |
| 21 | Chicago Wolves | 11 | 5 | -12 | 11 | .500 |
| 22 | Coachella Valley Firebirds | 11 | 4 | -6 | 11 | .500 |
| 26 | Springfield Thunderbirds | 10 | 3 | -8 | 9 | .450 |
| 27 | Rockford IceHogs | 10 | 4 | -8 | 8 | .400 |
| 28 | San Jose Barracuda | 10 | 4 | -12 | 8 | .400 |
AHL on the same day
- Cleveland MonstersHamilton Hammerspreliminary65351The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.5
- Calgary WranglersCoachella Valley Firebirdspreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:46.0
- Belleville SenatorsLaval Rocketpreliminary34662The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →