Kazakhstan Hockey Championship · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)
Gornyak Rudny — Almaty
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Gornyak Rudny are clear favourites: 77% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.7 in total, against a competition average of 6.2.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 55%.
Why
- Gornyak Rudny are more dangerous in attack: 3.6 expected goals against 2.0.
Facts
- League table: Gornyak Rudny — No. 6, 29 pts; Almaty — No. 7, 23 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Gornyak Rudny 3 wins, Almaty 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Gornyak Rudny — Almaty | 3.6–2.0 | |
| Gornyak Rudny to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 77% | |
| Almaty to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 23% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 55% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 45% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Gornyak Rudny
- Gornyak Rudny goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 30.10Kokshetau0:4
- 29.10Kokshetau2:3
- 25.10Nomad Astana6:0
- 24.10Nomad Astana1:3
- 20.10away · Karaganda2:3
- 30.10away · Karaganda1:6
- 29.10away · Karaganda5:4 SO
- 26.10away · Kokshetau3:4
- 25.10away · Kokshetau0:3
- 20.10Torpedo0:4
Head to head
- 16.10.2026Almaty — Gornyak Rudny5:2
- 15.10.2026Almaty — Gornyak Rudny2:3 SO
- 12.10.2026Almaty — Gornyak Rudny5:2
- 11.10.2026Almaty — Gornyak Rudny0:3
- 25.01.2026Gornyak Rudny — Almaty7:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs | Kulager | 24 | 13 | +25 | 31 |
| 6, Playoffs | Gornyak Rudny | 26 | 14 | +22 | 29 |
| 7, Playoffs | Almaty | 26 | 11 | -26 | 23 |
| 8, Playoffs | Aktobe | 26 | 6 | -48 | 13 |
Kazakhstan Championship on the same day
- KokshetauBeibarys Atyraupreliminary80201The model's most likely outcome: 117%Model's score: 4:15.0
- Nomad AstanaTorpedopreliminary37632The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 66% will not happen in roughly 34 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →