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Kazakhstan Hockey Championship · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)

Kokshetau — Beibarys Atyrau

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Model prediction for 24 November

Kokshetau68%
Draw in regulation17%
Beibarys Atyrau15%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Kokshetau are clear favourites: 80% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.0 in total, against a competition average of 6.2.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 44%.

Why

  • Kokshetau are more dangerous in attack: 3.4 expected goals against 1.7.

Facts

  • League table: Kokshetau — No. 3, 41 pts; Beibarys Atyrau — No. 9, 12 pts. A gap of 29 pts.
  • Kokshetau: 5 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Kokshetau 5 wins, Beibarys Atyrau 0.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Kokshetau — Beibarys Atyrau3.4–1.7
Kokshetau to win (incl. OT and shootout)80%
Beibarys Atyrau to win (incl. OT and shootout)20%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)44%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)56%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Kokshetau
  • Kokshetau goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Kokshetau

  • 30.10away · Gornyak Rudny4:0
  • 29.10away · Gornyak Rudny3:2
  • 26.10Almaty4:3
  • 25.10Almaty3:0
  • 21.10Pavlodar9:2

Beibarys Atyrau

  • 29.10away · Kulager2:3
  • 28.10away · Kulager4:3 SO
  • 25.10away · Karaganda0:6
  • 24.10away · Karaganda0:5
  • 20.10Nomad Astana2:3

Head to head

  • 16.09.2026Beibarys Atyrau — Kokshetau0:1
  • 15.09.2026Beibarys Atyrau — Kokshetau1:3
  • 30.01.2026Kokshetau — Beibarys Atyrau4:3 OT
  • 29.01.2026Kokshetau — Beibarys Atyrau3:2
  • 02.11.2025Kokshetau — Beibarys Atyrau2:1

Full record: 22 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
2, PlayoffsNomad Astana252023102–61+4142
3, PlayoffsKokshetau26201597–58+3941
4, PlayoffsKaraganda261745108–60+4838
8, PlayoffsAktobe26611969–117-4813
9Beibarys Atyrau25521848–85-3712
10Pavlodar24012331–187-1561

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Kazakhstan Championship on the same day

  • Gornyak RudnyAlmatypreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 117%Model's score: 4:15.7
  • Nomad AstanaTorpedopreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →