DEL (German hockey league) · Thursday, 12 November, 21:30 (UTC+3)

Iserlohn Roosters — Adler Mannheim

Model prediction for 12 November

Iserlohn Roosters25%

Draw in regulation20%

Adler Mannheim54%

Model estimate at 06:09 (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Adler Mannheim are clear favourites: 67% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.

Why

Adler Mannheim are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.3.

Facts

League table: Iserlohn Roosters — No. 14, 13 pts; Adler Mannheim — No. 2, 30 pts. A gap of 17 pts.
Adler Mannheim: 4 wins in a row.
Last 5 meetings: Iserlohn Roosters 0 wins, Adler Mannheim 5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Iserlohn Roosters — Adler Mannheim		2.3–3.1
Iserlohn Roosters to win (incl. OT and shootout)		33%
Adler Mannheim to win (incl. OT and shootout)		67%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)		51%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)		49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Totals incl. OT
Handicap Iserlohn Roosters
Iserlohn Roosters goals
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Form

Iserlohn Roosters

01.11away · Kolner2:3 SO
30.10Schwenninger4:2
25.10Nurnberg Ice Tigers2:4
23.10away · Munchen2:3
18.10away · Frankfurt Lowen1:4

Adler Mannheim

01.11away · Eisbaren Berlin3:1
30.10Bremerhaven4:3 OT
27.10away · Kolner6:5 OT
23.10Frankfurt Lowen3:0
18.10Schwenninger1:2

Head to head

01.10.2026Adler Mannheim — Iserlohn Roosters6:1
27.01.2026Iserlohn Roosters — Adler Mannheim1:2
19.12.2025Adler Mannheim — Iserlohn Roosters5:3
23.11.2025Iserlohn Roosters — Adler Mannheim0:4
05.10.2025Adler Mannheim — Iserlohn Roosters4:1

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	OTW	OTL	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Eisbaren Berlin	14	10	1	0	3	50–24	+26	32
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Adler Mannheim	15	8	2	2	3	53–38	+15	30
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Nurnberg Ice Tigers	15	9	0	1	5	56–34	+22	28
13	Schwenninger	16	3	3	1	9	37–60	-23	16
14, Relegation	Iserlohn Roosters	14	3	1	2	8	32–52	-20	13

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →