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DEL (German hockey league) · Thursday, 19 November, (UTC+3)

Krefeld Pinguine — Straubing Tigers

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Model prediction for 19 November

Krefeld Pinguine32%
Draw in regulation21%
Straubing Tigers47%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Straubing Tigers are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 57%.

Why

  • Straubing Tigers are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.7.

Facts

  • League table: Krefeld Pinguine — No. 11, 17 pts; Straubing Tigers — No. 5, 26 pts. A gap of 9 pts.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Krefeld Pinguine — Straubing Tigers2.6–3.1
Krefeld Pinguine to win (incl. OT and shootout)41%
Straubing Tigers to win (incl. OT and shootout)59%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)57%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)43%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Krefeld Pinguine
  • Krefeld Pinguine goals
  • Overtime chance
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Form

Krefeld Pinguine

  • 01.11away · Schwenninger3:4 OT
  • 30.10Kolner0:4
  • 28.10Schwenninger6:0
  • 25.10Munchen2:4
  • 23.10away · Nurnberg Ice Tigers2:7

Straubing Tigers

  • 01.11away · Bremerhaven2:5
  • 30.10Munchen4:2
  • 25.10away · Augsburger Panther4:2
  • 23.10Kolner3:5
  • 18.10Grizzly Wolfsburg3:2

Head to head

  • 20.09.2026Straubing Tigers — Krefeld Pinguine3:6

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsMunchen14811442–42027
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsStraubing Tigers14810552–41+1126
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsKolner15623457–53+425
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsFrankfurt Lowen14413632–33-117
11Krefeld Pinguine15502838–45-717
12Grizzly Wolfsburg15332736–51-1517

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →