Lida — Gomel
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Lida 47%, Gomel 53% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 4.1 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 27%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.0 and 2.1.
Facts
- Lida: 4 wins in a row; Gomel: 4 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Lida 2 wins, Gomel 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lida — Gomel | 2.0–2.1 | |
| Lida to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Gomel to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 27% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 73% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Lida
- Lida goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 02.11Soligorsk1:0 SO
- 30.10away · Vitebsk1:0
- 28.10away · Vitebsk5:3
- 24.10away · Yunost Minsk4:1
- 22.10away · Yunost Minsk1:3
- 02.11Yunost Minsk3:0
- 30.10away · Soligorsk3:2
- 28.10away · Soligorsk2:1
- 24.10away · Baranavichy6:1
- 22.10away · Baranavichy2:3 OT
Head to head
- 12.02.2026Lida — Gomel2:3 SO
- 10.02.2026Lida — Gomel1:4
- 07.11.2025Gomel — Lida3:4 OT
- 05.11.2025Gomel — Lida1:4
- 31.01.2025Gomel — Lida2:1
Belarus Extraleague on the same day
- SoligorskMolodechnopreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.7
- BrestYunost Minskpreliminary73271The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:14.9
- Neman GrodnoVitebskpreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →