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Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Tuesday, 17 November, (UTC+3)

Neman Grodno — Vitebsk

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Model prediction for 17 November

Neman Grodno45%
Draw in regulation24%
Vitebsk31%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Neman Grodno are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.1 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 27%.

Why

  • Neman Grodno are more dangerous in attack: 2.3 expected goals against 1.9.

Facts

  • Vitebsk: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Neman Grodno 3 wins, Vitebsk 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Neman Grodno — Vitebsk2.3–1.9
Neman Grodno to win (incl. OT and shootout)58%
Vitebsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)42%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)27%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)73%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Neman Grodno
  • Neman Grodno goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Neman Grodno

  • 02.11Baranavichy8:0
  • 29.10away · Yunost Minsk3:2
  • 27.10away · Yunost Minsk2:3 OT
  • 23.10away · Slavutych2:1 OT
  • 21.10away · Slavutych2:4

Vitebsk

  • 03.11away · Zhlobin2:3
  • 30.10Lida0:1
  • 28.10Lida3:5
  • 23.10away · Soligorsk2:3
  • 21.10away · Soligorsk1:5

Head to head

  • 23.12.2025Vitebsk — Neman Grodno3:2
  • 21.12.2025Vitebsk — Neman Grodno4:1
  • 19.09.2025Neman Grodno — Vitebsk1:0
  • 17.09.2025Neman Grodno — Vitebsk2:1 SO
  • 29.12.2024Neman Grodno — Vitebsk6:3

Full record: 28 meetings →

Belarus Extraleague on the same day

  • SoligorskMolodechnopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.7
  • BrestYunost Minskpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:14.9
  • LidaGomelpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →