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Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)

Molodechno — Vitebsk

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Model prediction for 22 November

Molodechno53%
Draw in regulation22%
Vitebsk25%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Molodechno are clear favourites: 66% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.3 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 30%.

Why

  • Molodechno are more dangerous in attack: 2.5 expected goals against 1.8.

Facts

  • Vitebsk: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Molodechno 3 wins, Vitebsk 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Molodechno — Vitebsk2.5–1.8
Molodechno to win (incl. OT and shootout)66%
Vitebsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)34%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)30%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)70%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Molodechno
  • Molodechno goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Molodechno

  • 03.11Slavutych3:1
  • 30.10away · Baranavichy2:3 SO
  • 28.10away · Baranavichy7:2
  • 23.10Mogilev2:4
  • 21.10Mogilev4:1

Vitebsk

  • 03.11away · Zhlobin2:3
  • 30.10Lida0:1
  • 28.10Lida3:5
  • 23.10away · Soligorsk2:3
  • 21.10away · Soligorsk1:5

Head to head

  • 02.03.2026Vitebsk — Molodechno3:1
  • 28.02.2026Vitebsk — Molodechno2:3
  • 18.11.2025Molodechno — Vitebsk4:2
  • 16.11.2025Molodechno — Vitebsk1:2
  • 12.02.2025Vitebsk — Molodechno1:4

Full record: 26 meetings →

Belarus Extraleague on the same day

  • LidaNeman Grodnopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:13.9
  • ZhlobinGomelpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.6
  • BrestSoligorskpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →