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Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)

Zhlobin — Gomel

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Model prediction for 22 November

Zhlobin44%
Draw in regulation23%
Gomel33%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Zhlobin are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.6 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 36%.

Why

  • Zhlobin are more dangerous in attack: 2.4 expected goals against 2.1.

Facts

  • Zhlobin: 5 wins in a row; Gomel: 4 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Zhlobin 4 wins, Gomel 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Zhlobin — Gomel2.4–2.1
Zhlobin to win (incl. OT and shootout)56%
Gomel to win (incl. OT and shootout)44%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)36%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)64%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Zhlobin
  • Zhlobin goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Zhlobin

  • 03.11Vitebsk3:2
  • 30.10away · Lokomotiv Orsha5:1
  • 28.10away · Lokomotiv Orsha4:2
  • 24.10away · Novopolotsk3:0
  • 22.10away · Novopolotsk4:3 SO

Gomel

  • 02.11Yunost Minsk3:0
  • 30.10away · Soligorsk3:2
  • 28.10away · Soligorsk2:1
  • 24.10away · Baranavichy6:1
  • 22.10away · Baranavichy2:3 OT

Head to head

  • 02.03.2026Gomel — Zhlobin1:3
  • 28.02.2026Gomel — Zhlobin0:3
  • 19.11.2025Zhlobin — Gomel1:0
  • 17.11.2025Zhlobin — Gomel3:2
  • 20.03.2025Gomel — Zhlobin1:0

Full record: 83 meetings →

Belarus Extraleague on the same day

  • MolodechnoVitebskpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.3
  • LidaNeman Grodnopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:13.9
  • BrestSoligorskpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →