NHL · Tuesday, 17 November, (UTC+3)
New York Rangers — Montreal Canadiens
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: New York Rangers 50%, Montreal Canadiens 50% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 5.1 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 47%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.6.
Facts
- League table: New York Rangers — No. 15, 17 pts; Montreal Canadiens — No. 6, 21 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: New York Rangers 3 wins, Montreal Canadiens 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: New York Rangers — Montreal Canadiens | 2.6–2.6 | |
| New York Rangers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 50% | |
| Montreal Canadiens to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 50% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 47% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 53% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap New York Rangers
- New York Rangers goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 04.11St. Louis Blues3:1
- 02.11Edmonton Oilers1:4
- 27.10Los Angeles Kings3:6
- 25.10away · Ottawa Senators4:7
- 23.10away · Toronto Maple Leafs4:5
- 04.11Winnipeg Jets4:5 OT
- 01.11Pittsburgh Penguins5:4
- 30.10away · Dallas Stars5:2
- 28.10away · St. Louis Blues2:0
- 26.10away · Winnipeg Jets2:1
Head to head
- 03.04.2026New York Rangers — Montreal Canadiens2:3
- 14.12.2025New York Rangers — Montreal Canadiens5:4 OT
- 19.10.2025Montreal Canadiens — New York Rangers3:4
- 20.01.2025Montreal Canadiens — New York Rangers5:4 OT
- 30.11.2024New York Rangers — Montreal Canadiens4:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Vegas Golden Knights | 17 | 10 | +9 | 22 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Montreal Canadiens | 15 | 9 | +5 | 21 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | New Jersey Devils | 15 | 10 | +9 | 20 |
| 14 | Florida Panthers | 15 | 8 | +3 | 18 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | New York Rangers | 16 | 8 | +1 | 17 |
| 16, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Seattle Kraken | 14 | 8 | 0 | 17 |
NHL on the same day
- Utah MammothVancouver Canuckspreliminary80201The model's most likely outcome: 117%Model's score: 5:26.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →