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NHL · Tuesday, 17 November, (UTC+3)

Utah Mammoth — Vancouver Canucks

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Model prediction for 17 November

Utah Mammoth68%
Draw in regulation17%
Vancouver Canucks15%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Utah Mammoth are clear favourites: 80% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects plenty of goals: 6.5 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 70%.

Why

  • Utah Mammoth are more dangerous in attack: 4.2 expected goals against 2.3.

Facts

  • League table: Utah Mammoth — No. 9, 20 pts; Vancouver Canucks — No. 32, 7 pts. A gap of 13 pts.
  • Vancouver Canucks: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Utah Mammoth 5 wins, Vancouver Canucks 0.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Utah Mammoth — Vancouver Canucks4.2–2.3
Utah Mammoth to win (incl. OT and shootout)80%
Vancouver Canucks to win (incl. OT and shootout)20%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)70%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)30%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
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  • Utah Mammoth goals
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Form

Utah Mammoth

  • 04.11away · Toronto Maple Leafs3:2
  • 02.11away · Philadelphia Flyers3:6
  • 30.10away · Pittsburgh Penguins4:3 OT
  • 28.10Minnesota Wild1:3
  • 25.10Tampa Bay Lightning5:4 OT

Vancouver Canucks

  • 04.11Anaheim Ducks4:5
  • 01.11Toronto Maple Leafs2:4
  • 30.10away · San Jose Sharks2:3
  • 28.10away · Anaheim Ducks6:5 OT
  • 26.10Minnesota Wild2:4

Head to head

  • 05.04.2026Vancouver Canucks — Utah Mammoth4:7
  • 03.02.2026Utah Mammoth — Vancouver Canucks6:2
  • 06.12.2025Vancouver Canucks — Utah Mammoth1:4
  • 17.03.2025Vancouver Canucks — Utah Mammoth1:3
  • 24.02.2025Utah Mammoth — Vancouver Canucks2:1

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
8, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionTampa Bay Lightning1492352–45+720
9, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionUtah Mammoth16100657–54+320
10, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionColorado Avalanche1691666–53+1319
31Chicago Blackhawks15411033–58-259
32Vancouver Canucks17311351–77-267

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →