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KHL · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)

Niznekamsk — Spartak Moscow

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Model prediction for 21 November

Niznekamsk30%
Draw in regulation22%
Spartak Moscow48%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Spartak Moscow are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 41%.

Why

  • Spartak Moscow are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.2.

Facts

  • League table: Niznekamsk — No. 6, 29 pts; Spartak Moscow — No. 7, 28 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Last 5 meetings: Niznekamsk 4 wins, Spartak Moscow 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Niznekamsk — Spartak Moscow2.2–2.7
Niznekamsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)40%
Spartak Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout)60%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)41%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)59%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Niznekamsk
  • Niznekamsk goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Niznekamsk

  • 03.11away · Sochi2:1
  • 01.11away · Novosibirsk3:1
  • 29.10Vladivostok3:4
  • 27.10Magnitogorsk2:3 OT
  • 22.10away · Avangard Omsk3:2

Spartak Moscow

  • 01.11away · Nizhny Novgorod1:3
  • 30.10away · Cherepovets5:1
  • 29.10away · Cherepovets2:3 SO
  • 25.10Shanghai3:4 SO
  • 23.10Cherepovets3:1

Head to head

  • 20.03.2026Spartak Moscow — Niznekamsk2:3 SO
  • 20.02.2026Niznekamsk — Spartak Moscow2:0
  • 18.03.2025Spartak Moscow — Niznekamsk2:4
  • 28.11.2024Niznekamsk — Spartak Moscow4:3 OT
  • 09.11.2023Niznekamsk — Spartak Moscow1:4

Full record: 26 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
5, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceNizhny Novgorod21133558–43+1529
6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceNiznekamsk23133765–55+1029
7, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceSpartak Moscow22124659–42+1728
8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceCherepovets23122951–53-226

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

KHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →