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Kazakhstan Hockey Championship · Monday, 23 November, (UTC+3)

Nomad Astana — Torpedo

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Model prediction for 23 November

Nomad Astana28%
Draw in regulation21%
Torpedo51%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Torpedo are clear favourites: 63% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.2.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.

Why

  • Torpedo are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.4.

Facts

  • League table: Nomad Astana — No. 2, 42 pts; Torpedo — No. 1, 44 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
  • Nomad Astana: 3 defeats in a row; Torpedo: 5 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Nomad Astana 2 wins, Torpedo 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Nomad Astana — Torpedo2.4–3.1
Nomad Astana to win (incl. OT and shootout)37%
Torpedo to win (incl. OT and shootout)63%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)51%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Nomad Astana
  • Nomad Astana goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Nomad Astana

  • 30.10away · Torpedo0:3
  • 29.10away · Torpedo3:6
  • 25.10away · Gornyak Rudny0:6
  • 24.10away · Gornyak Rudny3:1
  • 20.10away · Beibarys Atyrau3:2

Torpedo

  • 30.10Nomad Astana3:0
  • 29.10Nomad Astana6:3
  • 26.10Aktobe3:1
  • 25.10Aktobe4:2
  • 20.10away · Almaty4:0

Head to head

  • 30.10.2026Torpedo — Nomad Astana3:0
  • 29.10.2026Torpedo — Nomad Astana6:3
  • 07.10.2026Torpedo — Nomad Astana2:3 SO
  • 06.10.2026Torpedo — Nomad Astana2:3 OT
  • 11.02.2026Nomad Astana — Torpedo3:7

Full record: 19 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, PlayoffsTorpedo262123138–46+9244
2, PlayoffsNomad Astana252023102–61+4142
3, PlayoffsKokshetau26201597–58+3941

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Kazakhstan Championship on the same day

  • AktobeKaragandapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 210%Model's score: 2:57.0
  • Gornyak RudnyAlmatypreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 117%Model's score: 4:15.7
  • KokshetauBeibarys Atyraupreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 117%Model's score: 4:15.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →