PremiumTelegram
EN
Sections

Accounts and Premium are not available in your country; every forecast is open. New forecasts every day — in our Telegram channel.

Liiga (Finnish hockey league) · Thursday, 19 November, (UTC+3)

Tappara — Vaasan Sport

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 19 November

Tappara61%
Draw in regulation19%
Vaasan Sport20%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Tappara are clear favourites: 73% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 43%.

Why

  • Tappara are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 1.9.

Facts

  • League table: Tappara — No. 10, 28 pts; Vaasan Sport — No. 15, 19 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
  • Vaasan Sport: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Tappara 4 wins, Vaasan Sport 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Tappara — Vaasan Sport3.1–1.9
Tappara to win (incl. OT and shootout)73%
Vaasan Sport to win (incl. OT and shootout)27%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)43%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)57%

111 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Tappara
  • Tappara goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Tappara

  • 01.11Hameenlinna0:3
  • 30.10Ilves1:2 SO
  • 28.10away · JYP6:4
  • 24.10away · Pelicans4:5 SO
  • 21.10Assat3:0

Vaasan Sport

  • 31.10Assat1:2
  • 27.10away · KalPa2:5
  • 24.10SaiPa1:3
  • 23.10SaiPa3:5
  • 20.10Jukurit0:3

Head to head

  • 20.12.2025Tappara — Vaasan Sport5:0
  • 19.12.2025Vaasan Sport — Tappara4:2
  • 20.11.2025Tappara — Vaasan Sport4:3 SO
  • 12.11.2025Vaasan Sport — Tappara1:7
  • 31.01.2025Tappara — Vaasan Sport4:3

Full record: 14 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsTPS Turku19912753–48+531
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsTappara19723751–46+528
11, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsIFK Helsinki19714753–56-327
14, Relegation play-offHameenlinna206301142–55-1324
15, Relegation play-offVaasan Sport185121033–53-2019
16, Relegation play-offJokerit183141041–62-2115

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →