VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Thursday, 22 October, MSK
Toros Neftekamsk — Omskie Krylia
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Omskie Krylia are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 34%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.1 and 2.4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Toros Neftekamsk — Omskie Krylia | 2.1–2.4 | |
| Toros Neftekamsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 45% | |
| Omskie Krylia to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 55% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 34% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 66% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Toros Neftekamsk
- Toros Neftekamsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10away · Krasnoyarsk0:2
- 10.10away · HC Norilsk3:5
- 05.10Kaluga0:1
- 03.10AKM0:3
- 01.10Ryazan3:0
- 13.10Kristall Saratov7:1
- 11.10Dizel3:2
- 09.10Tambov5:1
- 07.10Buran Voronezh0:1
- 03.10Rubin Tyumen4:3
Head to head
- 22.12.2025Toros Neftekamsk — Omskie Krylia1:3
- 23.11.2025Omskie Krylia — Toros Neftekamsk7:0
- 08.03.2025Toros Neftekamsk — Omskie Krylia4:2
- 14.09.2024Omskie Krylia — Toros Neftekamsk4:1
- 07.12.2023Omskie Krylia — Toros Neftekamsk2:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs | Buran Voronezh | 14 | 10 | +9 | 22 |
| 3, Playoffs | Omskie Krylia | 13 | 10 | +18 | 20 |
| 4, Playoffs | HC Norilsk | 15 | 9 | +2 | 20 |
| 16, Playoffs | Magnitka Magnitogorsk | 11 | 5 | +4 | 14 |
| 17 | Toros Neftekamsk | 13 | 6 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 | Ryazan | 15 | 5 | -2 | 14 |
VHL on the same day
- IzhevskKurganpreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
- KhimikKalugapreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:13.8
- OlympiaRubin Tyumenpreliminary38622The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.1
- Zvezda MoscowAKMpreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.8
- Dinamo St. PetersburgRyazanpreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →