VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Thursday, 22 October, MSK
Khimik — Kaluga
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Khimik are clear favourites: 63% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 3.8 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 21%.
Why
- Khimik are more dangerous in attack: 2.2 expected goals against 1.6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Khimik — Kaluga | 2.2–1.6 | |
| Khimik to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 63% | |
| Kaluga to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 37% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 21% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 79% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Khimik
- Khimik goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Bars1:2
- 08.10away · Almetyevsk2:3
- 06.10away · CSK VVS8:2
- 02.10SKA-VMF St. Petersburg1:0
- 30.09Dinamo St. Petersburg4:3 OT
- 12.10Orsk1:2 SO
- 07.10away · Perm3:1
- 05.10away · Toros Neftekamsk1:0
- 03.10away · Izhevsk3:1
- 01.10away · Olympia3:2 OT
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7, Playoffs | Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 14 | 8 | +11 | 19 |
| 8, Playoffs | Kaluga | 13 | 8 | +10 | 19 |
| 9, Playoffs | Khimik | 14 | 8 | +18 | 18 |
| 10, Playoffs | SKA-VMF St. Petersburg | 12 | 8 | +11 | 16 |
VHL on the same day
- Toros NeftekamskOmskie Kryliapreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.5
- IzhevskKurganpreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
- OlympiaRubin Tyumenpreliminary38622The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.1
- Zvezda MoscowAKMpreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.8
- Dinamo St. PetersburgRyazanpreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →