PremiumTelegram
EN
Sections

Accounts and Premium are not available in your country; every forecast is open. New forecasts every day — in our Telegram channel.

Swiss National League (hockey) · Wednesday, 18 November, (UTC+3)

Zug — Ajoie

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 18 November

Zug61%
Draw in regulation19%
Ajoie20%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Zug are clear favourites: 73% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.4).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 46%.

Why

  • Zug are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 1.9.

Facts

  • League table: Zug — No. 5, 28 pts; Ajoie — No. 9, 25 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
  • Zug: 3 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Zug 3 wins, Ajoie 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Zug — Ajoie3.2–1.9
Zug to win (incl. OT and shootout)73%
Ajoie to win (incl. OT and shootout)27%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)46%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)54%

111 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Zug
  • Zug goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Zug

  • 31.10away · Bern8:1
  • 30.10Langnau Tigers3:2
  • 27.10Lugano7:2
  • 24.10away · Biel0:5
  • 23.10Lausanne4:1

Ajoie

  • 31.10away · Rapperswil-Jona4:2
  • 30.10Bern1:4
  • 27.10away · EHC Kloten4:7
  • 24.10away · Ambri-Piotta0:3
  • 23.10Servette5:0

Head to head

  • 17.10.2026Ajoie — Zug1:2
  • 16.01.2026Zug — Ajoie2:4
  • 29.11.2025Ajoie — Zug3:2 SO
  • 23.10.2025Zug — Ajoie8:3
  • 04.10.2025Ajoie — Zug1:3

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsLangnau Tigers19813766–56+1029
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsZug13901349–27+2228
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsBern17723546–47-128
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLausanne207211059–69-1026
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsAjoie19542858–64-625
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsDavos19622945–55-1024

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →