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Tennis: WTA, Tokyo, hard · Thursday, 29 October, (UTC+3)

Fernandez L. — Mertens E.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Missed
Fernandez L.26%
Mertens E.74%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Mertens E. to win (74%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 74% fails in about 26 matches out of 100 on average.

Mertens E. are clear favourites: 74% against 26% for the opponent.

Over 20.5 games — 48%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Fernandez L. 1537, Mertens E. 1726.

Probabilities

Games over 20.548%
Games under 20.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Fernandez L. games
  • Mertens E. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Fernandez L.

  • 27.10Sakatsume H.2:0
  • 25.10Rybakina E.0:2
  • 24.10Bouzkova M.2:0
  • 23.10Alexandrova E.2:1
  • 21.10Sasnovich A.2:1

Mertens E.

  • 26.10Uchijima M.2:0
  • 19.10Fernandez L.1:2
  • 13.10Snigur D.0:2
  • 10.10Zheng Q.0:2
  • 09.10Swiatek I.2:0

Head to head

  • 19.10.2026Mertens E. — Fernandez L.1:2

Full record: 2 meetings →

Next match

  • Rybakina E.Fernandez L.live · 30 October · WTA · Tokyo
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:017.5

WTA on the same day

  • Parks A.Birrell K.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • Teichmann J.Sonmez Z.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • Liu C.Siniakova K.live
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:218.5
  • Osaka N.Pohankova M.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.19.5
  • Timofeeva M.Sun X.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.20.5
  • Rybakina E.Putintseva Y.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.17.5
  • Bondar A.Quevedo K.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • Tagger L.Linette M.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 74% will not happen in roughly 26 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →