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Tennis: WTA, Tokyo, hard · Friday, 30 October, (UTC+3)

Rybakina E. — Fernandez L.

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Model prediction for 30 October

In play · estimate from before kick-off

Rybakina E.91%
Fernandez L.9%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Rybakina E. are clear favourites: 91% against 9% for the opponent.

Over 17.5 games — 46%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Rybakina E. 1997, Fernandez L. 1576.

Facts

  • Rybakina E.: 4 wins in a row.

Probabilities

Games over 17.546%
Games under 17.554%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Rybakina E. games
  • Fernandez L. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Rybakina E.

  • 29.10Putintseva Y.2:0
  • 25.10Fernandez L.2:0
  • 24.10Shnaider D.2:0
  • 23.10Kawa K.2:1
  • 22.10Kudermetova P.0:0

Fernandez L.

  • 29.10Mertens E.2:0
  • 27.10Sakatsume H.2:0
  • 25.10Rybakina E.0:2
  • 24.10Bouzkova M.2:0
  • 23.10Alexandrova E.2:1

Head to head

  • 25.10.2026Rybakina E. — Fernandez L.2:0

WTA on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.19.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.19.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 91% will not happen in roughly 9 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →