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Tennis: WTA, Tokyo, hard · Monday, 26 October, (UTC+3)

Kasatkina D. — Gibson T.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Came true
Kasatkina D.46%
Gibson T.54%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Gibson T. to win (54%), came true.

Gibson T. are slightly stronger: 54% against 46%.

Over 21.5 games — 53%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Kasatkina D. 1617, Gibson T. 1605.

Probabilities

Games over 21.553%
Games under 21.547%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Kasatkina D. games
  • Gibson T. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Kasatkina D.

  • 25.10Birrell K.2:0
  • 24.10Ma Y.2:0
  • 19.10Sasnovich A.0:2
  • 13.10Ostapenko J.0:2
  • 11.10Sorribes Tormo S.2:1

Gibson T.

  • 23.10Krueger A.0:2
  • 21.10Kraus S.2:0
  • 19.10Dart H.2:0
  • 10.10Sorribes Tormo S.0:2
  • 30.09Sasnovich A.0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Eala A.Gibson T.28 October · WTA · Tokyo
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.21.5

WTA on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.20.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.19.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.17.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.20.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →