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Tennis: WTA, Tokyo, hard · Monday, 26 October, (UTC+3)

Uchijima M. — Mertens E.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Came true
Uchijima M.19%
Mertens E.81%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Mertens E. to win (81%), came true.

Mertens E. are clear favourites: 81% against 19% for the opponent.

Over 19.5 games — 46%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Uchijima M. 1419, Mertens E. 1721.

Facts

  • Mertens E.: 3 defeats in a row.

Probabilities

Games over 19.546%
Games under 19.554%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Uchijima M. games
  • Mertens E. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Uchijima M.

  • 22.10Stoiana M.1:2
  • 20.10Shibahara E.2:1
  • 10.10Frech M.0:1
  • 21.09Tararudee L.1:2

Mertens E.

  • 19.10Fernandez L.1:2
  • 13.10Snigur D.0:2
  • 10.10Zheng Q.0:2
  • 09.10Swiatek I.2:0
  • 07.10Gauff C.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Fernandez L.Mertens E.29 October · WTA · Tokyo
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.20.5
  • Uchijima M.Sramkova R.3 November · WTA · Chennai
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5

WTA on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.17.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.20.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 81% will not happen in roughly 19 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →