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Tennis: WTA, Guangzhou, hard · Friday, 30 October, (UTC+3)

Tagger L. — Shi H.

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Model prediction and result

2:1Came true
Tagger L.75%
Shi H.25%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Tagger L. to win (75%), came true.

Tagger L. are clear favourites: 75% against 25% for the opponent.

Over 19.5 games — 53%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Tagger L. 1641, Shi H. 1521.

Probabilities

Games over 19.553%
Games under 19.547%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Tagger L. games
  • Shi H. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Tagger L.

  • 29.10Linette M.2:0
  • 27.10Williams V.2:0
  • 23.10Li A.1:2
  • 21.10Valentova T.2:0
  • 19.10Samsonova L.2:0

Shi H.

  • 28.10Yastremska D.2:0
  • 26.10Ibragimova A.2:0
  • 19.10Cirstea S.0:2
  • 18.10Korneeva A.2:0
  • 17.10Frech M.1:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Quevedo K.Tagger L.31 October · WTA · Guangzhou
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5

WTA on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.19.5
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:017.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 75% will not happen in roughly 25 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →