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Russian Volleyball Super League · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)

Gorky N. Novgorod — Belgorodbeta

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Model prediction for 22 November

Gorky N. Novgorod21%
Belgorod79%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Belgorod are clear favourites: 79% against 21% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 0:3. The model expects about 182 points in the match. First set: Belgorod — 68%.

Over 181.5 points — 50%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Gorky N. Novgorod 1464, Belgorod 1647; chance to win a single set: Belgorod 68%.

Facts

  • Belgorod: 3 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Gorky N. Novgorod 1 win, Belgorod 4.

Probabilities

First set: Gorky N. Novgorod32%
First set: Belgorod68%
Points over 181.550%
Points under 181.550%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Gorky N. Novgorod
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Gorky N. Novgorod

  • 30.10away · Dinamo-Lo2:3
  • 25.10Orenburg3:1
  • 21.10away · Zenit St. Petersburg0:3
  • 16.10Surgut region3:0
  • 21.03away · Dinamo-Lo0:3

Belgorod

  • 31.10away · Yaroslavl3:2
  • 27.10away · Din. Moscow3:1
  • 21.10Krasnoyarsk3:1
  • 17.10away · Novokuybyshevsk2:3
  • 31.03away · Novosibirsk1:3

Head to head

  • 04.01.2026Belgorod — Gorky N. Novgorod3:0
  • 19.10.2025Gorky N. Novgorod — Belgorod3:2
  • 05.01.2025Belgorod — Gorky N. Novgorod3:2
  • 22.09.2024Gorky N. Novgorod — Belgorod0:3
  • 03.03.2024Gorky N. Novgorod — Belgorod0:3

Full record: 6 meetings →

Russian Super League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 79% will not happen in roughly 21 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →