Gorky N. Novgorod — Belgorodbeta
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Belgorod are clear favourites: 79% against 21% for the opponent.
The most likely score in sets is 0:3. The model expects about 182 points in the match. First set: Belgorod — 68%.
Over 181.5 points — 50%.
Why
- Elo rating by sets: Gorky N. Novgorod 1464, Belgorod 1647; chance to win a single set: Belgorod 68%.
Facts
- Belgorod: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Gorky N. Novgorod 1 win, Belgorod 4.
Probabilities
| First set: Gorky N. Novgorod | 32% |
| First set: Belgorod | 68% |
| Points over 181.5 | 50% |
| Points under 181.5 | 50% |
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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.
- Score in sets
- Sets handicap Gorky N. Novgorod
- Total sets
- All points totals
- Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
Form
- 30.10away · Dinamo-Lo2:3
- 25.10Orenburg3:1
- 21.10away · Zenit St. Petersburg0:3
- 16.10Surgut region3:0
- 21.03away · Dinamo-Lo0:3
- 31.10away · Yaroslavl3:2
- 27.10away · Din. Moscow3:1
- 21.10Krasnoyarsk3:1
- 17.10away · Novokuybyshevsk2:3
- 31.03away · Novosibirsk1:3
Head to head
- 04.01.2026Belgorod — Gorky N. Novgorod3:0
- 19.10.2025Gorky N. Novgorod — Belgorod3:2
- 05.01.2025Belgorod — Gorky N. Novgorod3:2
- 22.09.2024Gorky N. Novgorod — Belgorod0:3
- 03.03.2024Gorky N. Novgorod — Belgorod0:3
Russian Super League on the same day
- NovosibirskYaroslavlpreliminary9641The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:0143.5
- NovokuybyshevskZenit St. Petersburgpreliminary19812The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:3180.5
- Zenit KazanKemerovopreliminary9641The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:0144.5
- MGTU MoscowUfapreliminary19812The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:3180.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 79% will not happen in roughly 21 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →