SuperLega (Italian volleyball) · Sunday, 1 November, (UTC+3)

Milano — Padovabeta

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Model prediction for 1 November

Milano77%
Padova23%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Milano are clear favourites: 77% against 23% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 3:1. The model expects about 183 points in the match. First set: Milano — 66%.

Over 182.5 points — 51%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Milano 1508, Padova 1401; chance to win a single set: Milano 66%.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Milano 5 wins, Padova 0.

Probabilities

First set: Milano66%
First set: Padova34%
Points over 182.551%
Points under 182.549%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Milano
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Milano

  • 26.04Modena1:3
  • 19.04away · Modena1:3
  • 08.04away · Cisterna3:1
  • 04.04Cisterna3:0
  • 21.03Verona0:3

Padova

  • 08.04Monza0:3
  • 04.04away · Monza0:3
  • 25.02Piacenza3:2
  • 22.02away · Cuneo Volley3:2
  • 14.02away · Monza0:3

Head to head

  • 26.12.2025Milano — Padova3:1
  • 15.11.2025Padova — Milano2:3
  • 18.04.2025Milano — Padova3:0
  • 09.02.2025Milano — Padova3:1
  • 17.11.2024Padova — Milano0:3

Full record: 7 meetings →

SuperLega on the same day

  • ModenaVeronapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:1186.5
  • CisternaPiacenzapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:3169.5
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:3147.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 77% will not happen in roughly 23 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →