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Superliga (Brazilian volleyball) · Tuesday, 27 October, (UTC+3)

Montes Claros — Sada Cruzeirobeta

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Model prediction and result

2:3Came true
Montes Claros6%
Sada Cruzeiro94%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:3: the model's most likely outcome, Sada Cruzeiro to win (94%), came true.

Sada Cruzeiro are clear favourites: 94% against 6% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 0:3. The model expects about 159 points in the match. First set: Sada Cruzeiro — 82%.

Over 146.5 points — 49%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Montes Claros 1401, Sada Cruzeiro 1740; chance to win a single set: Sada Cruzeiro 82%.

Facts

  • Last 2 meetings: Montes Claros 0 wins, Sada Cruzeiro 2.

Probabilities

First set: Montes Claros18%
First set: Sada Cruzeiro82%
Points over 146.549%
Points under 146.551%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Montes Claros
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Montes Claros

  • 27.03away · Suzano Volei1:3
  • 21.03Praia Clube0:3
  • 15.03away · Volei Renata0:3
  • 06.03Sesi0:3
  • 02.03Minas1:3

Sada Cruzeiro

  • 10.05Volei Renata3:0
  • 02.05Minas3:1
  • 28.04away · Minas2:3
  • 23.04Minas3:1
  • 10.04away · Goias3:0

Head to head

  • 03.02.2024Montes Claros — Sada Cruzeiro0:3
  • 26.11.2023Sada Cruzeiro — Montes Claros3:0

Full record: 3 meetings →

Next matches

  • Sada CruzeiroMonte Carmelo30 October · Superliga
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 3:0. Model's score: 3:0, exactly right.152.5
  • Sao Jose dos CamposMontes Claros11 November · Superliga · preliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:3188.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 94% will not happen in roughly 6 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →