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Russian Volleyball Super League · Wednesday, 18 November, (UTC+3)

Novokuybyshevsk — Surgut regionbeta

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Model prediction for 18 November

Novokuybyshevsk83%
Surgut region17%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Novokuybyshevsk are clear favourites: 83% against 17% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 3:0. The model expects about 179 points in the match. First set: Novokuybyshevsk — 71%.

Over 178.5 points — 51%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Novokuybyshevsk 1508, Surgut region 1355; chance to win a single set: Novokuybyshevsk 71%.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Novokuybyshevsk 2 wins, Surgut region 3.

Probabilities

First set: Novokuybyshevsk71%
First set: Surgut region29%
Points over 178.551%
Points under 178.549%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Novokuybyshevsk
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Novokuybyshevsk

  • 31.10Zenit Kazan0:3
  • 26.10away · MGTU Moscow3:1
  • 20.10Kemerovo3:2
  • 17.10Belgorod3:2
  • 28.03Zenit Kazan0:3

Surgut region

  • 30.10away · Ufa2:3
  • 25.10Novyi Urengoy1:3
  • 21.10Novosibirsk3:0
  • 16.10away · Gorky N. Novgorod0:3
  • 21.03away · Krasnoyarsk0:3

Head to head

  • 01.03.2026Novokuybyshevsk — Surgut region3:0
  • 14.12.2025Surgut region — Novokuybyshevsk0:3
  • 15.02.2025Surgut region — Novokuybyshevsk3:2
  • 13.11.2024Novokuybyshevsk — Surgut region0:3
  • 27.04.2024Surgut region — Novokuybyshevsk3:0

Full record: 8 meetings →

Russian Super League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 83% will not happen in roughly 17 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →