Yaroslavl — Gorky N. Novgorodbeta
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Gorky N. Novgorod are slightly stronger: 59% against 41%.
The most likely score in sets is 1:3. The model expects about 188 points in the match. First set: Gorky N. Novgorod — 55%.
Over 188.5 points — 50%.
Why
- Elo rating by sets: Yaroslavl 1393, Gorky N. Novgorod 1464; chance to win a single set: Gorky N. Novgorod 55%.
Facts
- Last 2 meetings: Yaroslavl 1 win, Gorky N. Novgorod 1.
Probabilities
| First set: Yaroslavl | 45% |
| First set: Gorky N. Novgorod | 55% |
| Points over 188.5 | 50% |
| Points under 188.5 | 50% |
66 more model lines in Premium
The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.
- Score in sets
- Sets handicap Yaroslavl
- Total sets
- All points totals
- Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
Form
- 31.10Belgorod2:3
- 25.10Ufa3:0
- 21.10away · Din. Moscow0:3
- 16.10Krasnoyarsk3:2
- 13.03away · Novosibirsk0:3
- 30.10away · Dinamo-Lo2:3
- 25.10Orenburg3:1
- 21.10away · Zenit St. Petersburg0:3
- 16.10Surgut region3:0
- 21.03away · Dinamo-Lo0:3
Head to head
- 02.03.2026Gorky N. Novgorod — Yaroslavl1:3
- 14.12.2025Yaroslavl — Gorky N. Novgorod0:3
Russian Super League on the same day
- KrasnoyarskNovyi Urengoypreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:1187.5
- KemerovoMGTU Moscowpreliminary82181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:0179.5
- NovosibirskDin. Moscowpreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:3188.5
- NovokuybyshevskSurgut regionpreliminary83171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:0178.5
- Dinamo-LoZenit St. Petersburgpreliminary22782The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:3182.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →