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Russian Volleyball Super League · Wednesday, 18 November, (UTC+3)

Yaroslavl — Gorky N. Novgorodbeta

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Model prediction for 18 November

Yaroslavl41%
Gorky N. Novgorod59%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Gorky N. Novgorod are slightly stronger: 59% against 41%.

The most likely score in sets is 1:3. The model expects about 188 points in the match. First set: Gorky N. Novgorod — 55%.

Over 188.5 points — 50%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Yaroslavl 1393, Gorky N. Novgorod 1464; chance to win a single set: Gorky N. Novgorod 55%.

Facts

  • Last 2 meetings: Yaroslavl 1 win, Gorky N. Novgorod 1.

Probabilities

First set: Yaroslavl45%
First set: Gorky N. Novgorod55%
Points over 188.550%
Points under 188.550%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Yaroslavl
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Yaroslavl

  • 31.10Belgorod2:3
  • 25.10Ufa3:0
  • 21.10away · Din. Moscow0:3
  • 16.10Krasnoyarsk3:2
  • 13.03away · Novosibirsk0:3

Gorky N. Novgorod

  • 30.10away · Dinamo-Lo2:3
  • 25.10Orenburg3:1
  • 21.10away · Zenit St. Petersburg0:3
  • 16.10Surgut region3:0
  • 21.03away · Dinamo-Lo0:3

Head to head

  • 02.03.2026Gorky N. Novgorod — Yaroslavl1:3
  • 14.12.2025Yaroslavl — Gorky N. Novgorod0:3

Russian Super League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →