Argentino — Lanus
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Argentino are slightly stronger: 54% against 46%.
The model expects a score around 79:78 — 157 points in total.
Over 156.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Argentino −7.4, Lanus −4.9 points in regulation.
Facts
- League table: Argentino — No. 9, 3–3; Lanus — No. 12, 3–5.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Argentino — Lanus | 79.3–78.2 | |
| Total over 156.5 (incl. OT) | 51% | |
| Total under 156.5 (incl. OT) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Argentino points
- Lanus points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
Form
- 04.11away · La Union57:75
- 24.10Quimsa76:78
- 22.10Boca Juniors84:82
- 13.10Gimnasia82:87
- 11.10San Martin82:79
- 30.10San Martin81:72
- 27.10Regatas72:63
- 24.10away · Atenas69:80
- 22.10away · Instituto de Cordoba73:75
- 20.10away · Independiente de Oliva93:108
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Independiente de Oliva | 1 | 1 | .500 | 3 |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Argentino | 3 | 3 | .500 | 3 |
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Olimpico | 3 | 3 | .500 | 3 |
| 11, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Boca Juniors | 3 | 3 | .500 | 3 |
| 12, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Lanus | 3 | 5 | .375 | 4 |
| 13 | Racing de Chivilcoy | 3 | 5 | .375 | 4 |
Liga Nacional on the same day
- La UnionAtenaspreliminary71291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —164.3
- San MartinQuimsapreliminary24762The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —160.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →