Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Monday, 16 November, (UTC+3)
San Martin — Quimsa
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Quimsa are clear favourites: 76% against 24% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 76:84 — 161 point in total.
Over 160.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: San Martin −5.0, Quimsa +6.9 points in regulation.
Facts
- League table: San Martin — No. 18, 0–6; Quimsa — No. 1, 6–0.
- San Martin: 5 defeats in a row; Quimsa: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: San Martin 4 wins, Quimsa 1.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): San Martin — Quimsa | 76.1–84.5 | |
| Total over 160.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 160.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- San Martin points
- Quimsa points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 30.10away · Lanus72:81
- 28.10away · Penarol76:95
- 21.10Olimpico86:106
- 11.10away · Argentino79:82
- 09.10away · Racing de Chivilcoy123:126
- 31.10Penarol78:73
- 26.10away · Racing de Chivilcoy68:54
- 24.10away · Argentino78:76
- 11.10Boca Juniors105:96
- 06.10Atenas83:77
Head to head
- 21.01.2026Quimsa — San Martin64:79
- 04.11.2025San Martin — Quimsa79:69
- 27.02.2025San Martin — Quimsa87:68
- 20.12.2024Quimsa — San Martin107:84
- 30.03.2024San Martin — Quimsa86:84
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Quimsa | 6 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Penarol | 5 | 1 | .833 | 1 |
| 17, Relegation play-off | Obera TC | 1 | 4 | .200 | 4.5 |
| 18, Relegation play-off | San Martin | 0 | 6 | .000 | 6 |
Liga Nacional on the same day
- ArgentinoLanuspreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —157.4
- La UnionAtenaspreliminary71291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —164.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 76% will not happen in roughly 24 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →