Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Monday, 16 November, (UTC+3)
La Union — Atenas
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
La Union are clear favourites: 71% against 29% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 85:79 — 164 points in total.
Over 163.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: La Union +0.7, Atenas −2.4 points in regulation.
Facts
- League table: La Union — No. 6, 2–2; Atenas — No. 4, 4–2.
- Last 5 meetings: La Union 3 wins, Atenas 2.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): La Union — Atenas | 85.5–78.8 | |
| Total over 163.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 163.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- All totals
- La Union points
- Atenas points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 04.11Argentino75:57
- 16.10Racing de Chivilcoy68:74
- 07.10away · Platense90:86
- 05.10away · Gimnasia86:92
- 03.05away · Independiente de Oliva92:97
- 04.11Gimnasia76:79
- 02.11Racing de Chivilcoy95:94
- 24.10Lanus80:69
- 13.10Ferro91:86
- 08.10away · Olimpico91:87
Head to head
- 18.04.2026La Union — Atenas82:84
- 07.11.2025Atenas — La Union70:87
- 25.04.2025Atenas — La Union68:87
- 09.01.2025La Union — Atenas77:81
- 03.02.2023La Union — Atenas72:69
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Gimnasia | 7 | 2 | .778 | 0.5 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Atenas | 4 | 2 | .667 | 2 |
| 5, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Instituto de Cordoba | 4 | 2 | .667 | 2 |
| 6, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | La Union | 2 | 2 | .500 | 3 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Platense | 3 | 3 | .500 | 3 |
Liga Nacional on the same day
- ArgentinoLanuspreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —157.4
- San MartinQuimsapreliminary24762The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —160.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 71% will not happen in roughly 29 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →